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Matteo Arnaldi vs Casper Ruud Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Arnaldi vs Ruud analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Matteo Arnaldi vs Casper Ruud Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Arnaldi 1 - 1 Ruud

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Arnaldi has won 51.42% of points on his second serve, while Ruud has won 54.76%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Arnaldi, in recent form, has won 48.23% of his opponent's second serve points, while Ruud has won 50.09%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.64% and 31.35% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Arnaldi has saved 60.93% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Ruud has saved 67.89% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Arnaldi has won 63.77% of matches played (W/L 44/ 25), with Ruud winning 69.74% (W/L 53/ 23) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 121/ 60), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 12/ 19). Ruud has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 226/ 101), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 36% (W/L 4/ 7).
  • Player level: In the last year, Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 59.26% of matches (W/L 16/ 11), where as Ruud has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 75% of matches (W/L 27/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Arnaldi winning 1 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Arnaldi winning 2 and Ruud winning 2. The last match between Arnaldi and Ruud was at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona, 19-04-2024, Quarterfinals, Clay with Casper Ruud getting the victory 6-4 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:33:14.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Arnaldi and Ruud have played a deciding set 0 times, with Arnaldi winning 0 times and Ruud 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Arnaldi winning 0, and Ruud 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Arnaldi has played against opponents with an average rank of 171.62 while Ruud has played against players with an average rank of 139.92.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Arnaldi has won 53% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Ruud has won 50% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Arnaldi has converted 34.48% of breakpoint opportunities, and Ruud has converted 41.34% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Arnaldi 1 - 1 Ruud

Matteo Arnaldi

6

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

2

Minor

37

Rank

35

High

23

Age

Plays

1

Total

1

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

7

Rank

2

High

25

Age

R

Plays

Casper Ruud

14

Total

0

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

11

Main

2

Minor

1

Total

1

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W W L W L W L W L

Form

L W W W W W W W L L

63% (203-118)

Career Total W/L

65% (388-207)

55% (16-13)

YTD W/L

78% (31-9)

$1,222,595

Career Prize Money

$10,535,790

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Arnaldi VS Ruud H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Matteo Arnaldi Casper Ruud
All H2H Matches 1 1
Sets Won 2 2
Games Won 19 19
Aces (Total) 7 6
DFs (Total) 4 2
Avg Match Time 1:33:14 1:33:14
1st Serve % 54% (62/115) 69% (90/130)
1st Serve Win% 69% (43/62) 62% (56/90)
2nd Serve Win% 51% (27/53) 55% (22/40)
BPs Won% (Total) 29% (5/17) 38% (5/13)
Return Points W% 40% (52/130) 39% (45/115)
Best of 3 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)

Arnaldi VS Ruud H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-3
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
75% ( 50 of 67)
1st Serve %
53% ( 27 of 51)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
60% ( 30 of 50)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 15 of 27)
71% ( 12 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
37% ( 25 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 25 of 51)
67
Total Points Won
51
6-3 6-4
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Casper Ruud
55% ( 35 of 64)
1st Serve %
63% ( 40 of 63)
6
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
2
80% ( 28 of 35)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 26 of 40)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 10 of 23)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
31% ( 20 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 27 of 63)
71
Total Points Won
56

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Matteo Arnaldi Casper Ruud
YTD W/L 55% (16/13) 78% (31/9)
Sets Win/Loss 54% (39/33) 71% (68/28)
Games Win/Loss 50% (363/357) 57% (522/388)
Hard Win/Loss 56% (10/8) 77% (17/5)
Clay Win/Loss 55% (6/5) 76% (13/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (1/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.57 0.45
Aces Total 199 202
DFs per game 0.25 0.14
DFs Total 89 64
Avg Match Time 2:5:40 1:47:4
Avg Opp Rank 182.86 116.58
1st Serve % 56% (1317/2346) 65% (1821/2787)
1st Serve W% 72% (944/1317) 74% (1348/1821)
2nd Serve W% 51% (529/1029) 55% (529/966)
BPs Won% Total 35% (76/217) 41% (117/283)
Return Pts W% 37% (864/2336) 39% (1065/2762)
Slam W/L 50% (1/1) 67% (2/1)
Masters W/L 55% (6/5) 69% (11/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (1/0)
Main Tour W/L 57% (8/6) 85% (17/3)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 50% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 54% (14/26) 78% (29/37)
Best of 5 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 67% (2/3)
TBs Win% (Total) 62% (8/13) 58% (7/12)
Deciding Set W% 43% (6/14) 73% (8/11)
1st set W, W 73% (15/11) 97% (29/28)
1st set W, L 27% (15/4) 3% (29/1)
1st set L, W 31% (13/4) 27% (11/3)

Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Luciano Darderi
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
53% ( 37 of 70)
1st Serve %
60% ( 51 of 85)
4
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
68% ( 25 of 37)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 32 of 51)
70% ( 23 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
31% ( 22 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 35 of 85)
83
Total Points Won
72
L
6-2 2-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Fabio Fognini
45% ( 25 of 55)
1st Serve %
54% ( 44 of 81)
3
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
68% ( 17 of 25)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 33 of 44)
70% ( 21 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 11 of 37)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 17 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 37 of 81)
75
Total Points Won
61
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60% ( 43 of 72)
1st Serve %
52% ( 39 of 75)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 28 of 39)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 22 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 32 of 75)
82
Total Points Won
65
L
6-2 7-6(6) H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Harold Mayot
53% ( 57 of 107)
1st Serve %
66% ( 59 of 89)
7
Aces
3
6
Double Faults
2
70% ( 40 of 57)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 40 of 59)
56% ( 28 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
36% ( 39 of 107)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 32 of 89)
100
Total Points Won
96
W
3-6 7-5 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64% ( 52 of 81)
1st Serve %
57% ( 51 of 89)
3
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
4
83% ( 43 of 52)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 37 of 51)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 19 of 38)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
28% ( 23 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 33 of 89)
91
Total Points Won
79
L
2-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Christopher O'Connell
62% ( 33 of 53)
1st Serve %
71% ( 37 of 52)
8
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
73% ( 24 of 33)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 22 of 37)
70% ( 14 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
28% ( 15 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 22 of 52)
60
Total Points Won
45
W
6-4 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
75% ( 50 of 67)
1st Serve %
53% ( 27 of 51)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
60% ( 30 of 50)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 15 of 27)
71% ( 12 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
37% ( 25 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 25 of 51)
67
Total Points Won
51
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Marco Trungelliti
55% ( 26 of 47)
1st Serve %
61% ( 38 of 62)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
85% ( 22 of 26)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 21 of 38)
67% ( 14 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
29% ( 4 of 14)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 11 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 32 of 62)
68
Total Points Won
41
W
6-3 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Sebastian Baez
55% ( 52 of 95)
1st Serve %
66% ( 83 of 125)
11
Aces
0
9
Double Faults
5
71% ( 37 of 52)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 46 of 83)
44% ( 19 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 21 of 42)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
83% ( 5 of 6)
41% ( 39 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 58 of 125)
114
Total Points Won
106
W
5-7 7-6(8) 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Arthur Cazaux
60% ( 24 of 40)
1st Serve %
69% ( 24 of 35)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
0
71% ( 17 of 24)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
31% ( 5 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
45% ( 18 of 40)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
39
Total Points Won
36
W
5-5 ret. H2H

Casper Ruud Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Miomir Kecmanovic
Player
Casper Ruud
59% ( 46 of 78)
1st Serve %
54% ( 49 of 90)
7
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
5
63% ( 29 of 46)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 31 of 49)
44% ( 14 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 21 of 41)
29% ( 4 of 14)
Break Points Won
56% ( 5 of 9)
45% ( 35 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 38 of 90)
81
Total Points Won
87
L
0-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Casper Ruud
59% ( 41 of 69)
1st Serve %
82% ( 59 of 72)
3
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
0
78% ( 32 of 41)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 35 of 59)
50% ( 14 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
69% ( 9 of 13)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 23 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 28 of 72)
74
Total Points Won
67
L
6-4 7-5 H2H
R3
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Cameron Norrie
67% ( 33 of 49)
1st Serve %
70% ( 37 of 53)
3
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
70% ( 23 of 33)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 20 of 37)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 4 of 16)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
33% ( 16 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 29 of 53)
62
Total Points Won
40
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Miomir Kecmanovic
58% ( 31 of 53)
1st Serve %
66% ( 27 of 41)
4
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
0
68% ( 21 of 31)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 4 of 14)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
42% ( 22 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
55
Total Points Won
39
W
6-4 6-1 H2H
F
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
80% ( 45 of 56)
1st Serve %
57% ( 35 of 61)
2
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
78% ( 35 of 45)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 22 of 35)
64% ( 7 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 13 of 26)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
25% ( 14 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 26 of 61)
68
Total Points Won
49
W
7-5 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
59% ( 42 of 71)
1st Serve %
64% ( 41 of 64)
1
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
79% ( 33 of 42)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 30 of 41)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
32% ( 23 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 22 of 64)
70
Total Points Won
65
W
7-6(6) 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
75% ( 50 of 67)
1st Serve %
53% ( 27 of 51)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
60% ( 30 of 50)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 15 of 27)
71% ( 12 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
37% ( 25 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 25 of 51)
67
Total Points Won
51
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Jordan Thompson
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve %
54% ( 27 of 50)
1
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
1
81% ( 26 of 32)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 18 of 27)
85% ( 11 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 10 of 23)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
18% ( 8 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 22 of 50)
59
Total Points Won
36
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Alexandre Muller
54% ( 30 of 56)
1st Serve %
57% ( 40 of 70)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
3
73% ( 22 of 30)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 19 of 40)
46% ( 12 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 14 of 30)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
39% ( 22 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 37 of 70)
71
Total Points Won
55
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
F
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Casper Ruud
48% ( 35 of 73)
1st Serve %
65% ( 36 of 55)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
60% ( 21 of 35)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 24 of 36)
68% ( 26 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 8)
36% ( 26 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 24 of 55)
71
Total Points Won
57
L
6-1 6-4 H2H

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